Monday, November 23, 2009

Three Storms In The West Pacific And 02S Bongani Moves Through The Outer Seychelles

We have a lot of activity in the tropics! I'll let the images speak for themselves. Click on any for a larger view.
















Dann Cianca
Overview tropical satellite imagery provided courtesy of IPS Meteostar.

Sunday, November 22, 2009

The Western Pacific Heats Up- One Depression, Another On The Way

Things are getting fairly active in the Western Pacific Ocean:



26W looks less impressive than yesterday, shredding its main convective cluster, but the circulation remains. Forecast is still taking it to typhoon strength within the next 24-48hours.




Another area is being monitored for tropical cyclone development. This storm has persisted off the east coast of Mindanao (Philippines) for the past couple of days and is expected amp up on organization over the next few days.




And finally, 96S is still looking strong in the Southern Indian Ocean. The system has passed south of the Seychelles and is continuing westward movement.






Back on the home front, we had a good turnout at CONVERGENCE! last night. Had about twenty people show up which was cool. I know I had a lot of fun!

Weatherwise, we had a weak cold front move through last night. It's keeping temperatures down about 10ºF from yesterday. Could see a little light snow tomorrow but I'm not expecting much in the way of accumulation.

Dann Cianca
Overview tropical satellite imagery provided courtesy of IPS Meteostar.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Tropical Cyclone Formation In Micronesia And Info On November CONVERGENCE!

It's been fairly quiet along the Front Range here for the last week or so. Temps have climbed up into the 50's most days this week aside from the occasion cool push which makes its way down along the Footies. There's still a good amount of snow and ice in the shady areas, so I'm hoping for some consistent downslope to eat it away. It looks like it will have to wait until next week, though, as we might see a little moisture reach the ground after another weak push comes through tonight and into tomorrow. The models don't bring us much else in the next 180 hours, so that will be good. For the record, I enjoy a big snow but prefer warm weather in between, especially now that I spend a lot of time running outside. I'd prefer to not have to run on ice.

Tonight will be the November edition of our CONVERGENCE! meetings. For those of you who are unaway, CONVERGENCE! is a gathering for people who enjoy the weather. This can include people who chase/spot, are educated/work in the field, or just enjoy talking about weather. I found that I had separate groups of friends who though came from different walks of life, all had weather in common. If you're interested intending, please consider yourself invited!

CONVERGENCE! (November 2009)
Saturday, November 22nd 2009
8PM MST
Old Chicago (Bar/Restaurant)
1415 Market Street
Denver, Colorado

Maybe I'll see you tonight?

Okay, now on to the tropics! As I said in a recent post, for whatever reason, my interest in the tropics heats up near the end of the Atlantic Season and usually lasts through the Southern Hemispheric Seasons. The most activity we're seeing now is in the Western Pacific right now, however.



JTWC has decided that 94W has warranted a formation alert and I would have to agree.




We also still have one area worth watching in the Southern Indian Ocean.



And finally, I just thought I'd share one of the images selected on the MODIS Website as an "image of the day". It shows snowcover from a recent storm that moved across Ontario. Very cool, if you ask me. Don't forget to click for the larger version!


Dann Cianca
Overview tropical satellite imagery provided courtesy of IPS Meteostar.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Anja Gone But Other Areas Bear Watching

The once powerful 01S Anja is nothing but a memory at this point; completely extra-tropical and being escorted away in the flow. She maxed out at 115 knots, which would be a Category 4 storm on our Saffir-Simpson scale. The photo below comes from the MODIS website. It was taken near Anja's maximum intensity and should DEFINITELY be clicked on for maximum enjoyment.



There is another area worth noting in the Southern Indian Ocean as well. An wave of storms (95S Invest) is becoming more organized by the minute along the same latitude the spawned Anja. This area of storms is a bit further west, though, which should concern the resort islands of Reunion and Mauritius. I wouldn't be surprised to see tropical cyclone development with this system over the next couple of days, so I will watch it closely.




Also, a couple of areas are being watched in the Western Pacific, one notably close the equator.



(You can click on any image for a larger view).

Dann.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 01S Anja Probably At Peak Intensity

Anja is currently sitting at 115kt (134mph) and 937mb and is moving to the south. Latest imagery shows the eye starting to fill in again. The storm is moving into cooler waters and will not affect any land aside from some higher surf in Rodrigues to her west. Eventually, she will convert to an extra-tropical cyclone over open water.





Dann.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

2009 - November 14 & 15 - Denver Area Winter Storm

Well, aside from some brief convective snow showers that drifted off the mountains this afternoon, the snow was said and done by late morning. All in all, I received about 7.5" at my apartment which is around the 8" I forecast, so I'll definitely take that!

A few photos? Don't mind if I do!


Out my bedroom window. Not a bad scene to wake up to!





Looking east down East Peakview Avenue





The local Weather Service hasn't issued a map of snowfall just yet, but it looks like 5-10" was common in the metro, 8-15" in the Footies, and 2-8" on the plains.

Dann.
Current conditions at Greenwood Park (Centennial), Colorado: 22.3ºF

Intense Tropical Cyclone 01S Anja Continues To Strengthen In The Southern Indian Ocean



Current strength(JTWC): 105 knots (121mph), 944mb

The storm is expected to stay away from land (islands or otherwise) before becoming extra tropical within the next couple of days. Still pretty to look at, though.

Some imagery:








It's funny how I get more excited about the tropics when things are fairly quiet in the Northern Hemisphere. Might be a side effect of SDS.

Dann.
Current Conditions at Greenwood Park (Centennial), Colorado: Overcast 31.5ºF