Friday, September 24, 2010

2010 Storm Chase 44 Report - September 9th - Harrisburg to Angora, Nebraska LP Supercell

I had been watching this event unfold for several days. With a decent September upper level trough in the Northwest, models had been resolving a decent theta-e axis along the lee of the Rockies. Winds backed into the lee trough all the way up into the Dakotas. It looked as if cyclogenesis would happen in Montana with a warm front stretching along the North and South Dakota border. While it was tempting to head up and play the warm front, it looked like a dryline would be setting up along the lee trough into the Nebraska Panhandle. There was some decent CAPE along this axis and it looked like the tail end of a shortwave would move through the area that afternoon. It was closer to home and made a good target. Precipitation models were breaking out an isolated cell somewhere along this line quite regularly. The solution made sense to me. I convinced Tony Laubach to make the trip and he invited Ed Grubb along as well.

SPC's Convective Outlook for September 9th

Just in case something happened early over the Medicine Bow or Laramie Mountains, we decided to head up I-25 toward Cheyenne before heading into Nebraska. On the way, we came across a freshly ignited grass fire which we took a few minutes to document. We watched as it burned and expanded and then as it was subsequently put out.



Things stayed fairly quiet in Wyoming, so we continued on into Nebraska. According to mesoanalysis, moisture was already starting to converge along the lee trough which stretched NNW from Kimball, NE toward Torrington, WY. Of course, as soon as we made the decision to drive east, a few cells developed along I-25 between Wheatland and Douglas, Wyoming. None of them seemed to be making much of an effort to strengthen and since we had initially targeted the Scottsbluff area, we headed north from Kimball and hung out in the Scottsbluff area for a while. The cells in Wyoming, while persistent, never amounted to much. We were more interested in the cu field along the dryline that stretched to our southeast. It was still capped but we also had some heating to go and a bit of upper level support coming later. So, we busied ourselves with lunch and I explored a new Menards store simply for the nice air conditioning.

Eventually, some of the cumulus began to push through the inversion. One storm began to precipitate northeast of Kimball but then quickly blew itself out. Another cell was beginning to form near Harrisburg. Around this time, Severe Thunderstorm Watch #650 was issued for areas to our north, but we were not included. Storm motions were going to be quite slow on the day, so we headed a bit east of Scottsbluff and crossed the North Platte River near Melbeta where we watched the southwestern sky.


The cell near Harrisburg was pulsing a little but seemed to continue to slowly strengthen. We lost sight of the base because of precip and the Wildcat Hills, so we decided to head south out of Melbeta to get a better look. Eric Treece was south of us and was texting me updates as to the storm's status. As we emerged from the Wildcat Hills on through Wrights Gap, we were greeted with a beautiful sight.


The storm already looked as if it were taking on supercellular characteristics, albeit a bit on the low-precipitation side. The base was sturdy and hard and it was beautiful in the way that it shadowed part of the sunlight as it illuminated the very definitive precipitation core.


We got one last look at the storm before heading back north on the road (which was dirt) before too much of the core came over and made driving difficult.


We lost visibility of the base by the time we reached pavement again but resolved to minesweep the core for hail. We eventually found some one inch stones, measured, and saw a few larger which we didn't have the chance to measure. I texted my findings to a friend at the Cheyenne NWS which verified the warning that had been put out for the storm. There was a report of golf balls near Melbeta, but we didn't see anything that big. Mesoscale Discussion #1809 was issued right about this time.

We got on NE62 and headed east to McGrew where we decided to head up to US26 and continue east. As we pressed east, the storm was moving northeast and we were starting to get out of the precipitation. I noticed a bit of an RFD cut on the back side of the meso and I was surprised at how dry it was.


Even under the meso, we were fully lit and mostly dry. We could see a few large drops of rain or small hail brilliantly lit by the sun. It was beautiful.

Looking south, under the meso.



At no point did it look as if it were going to start to lower and become tornadic, so thoughts of structure were on our minds. We raced east, ahead of the storm and it became quickly apparent as I craned my neck around behind, that this was a special, beautiful storm. Sitting in the back seat, I had a better view than either Ed or Tony, and I was certainly gushing about its beauty. We reached the junction of NE L62A and US 385 and stopped at a gravel pile to watch this incredible storm as it moved toward us. It moved from our west to our north and slowly died. Occasionally, it would have a bit of an inflow tail and even more interesting were some of the very narrow precipitation downdrafts (pictured below). I took a couple trips to the top of the gravel pile for some shots and also set up my video camera for a timelapse. We saw Eric drive by around this time as well and were glad that he got to share this great storm with us. On an interesting note, a small tomatillo plant grew at the edge of the gravel lot. I love salsa made with tomatillos and was tempted to harvest some, but I left it alone.

Eventually the meso detached from the now elevated updraft as it continued off to our northeast. The light was perfect throughout this chain of events and we just sat there and enjoyed ourselves, feeling the warm inflow winds and taking in the view. I did struggle to capture the dynamic range of the environment with my point-and-shoot but chose the best results for the photos below:




The very interesting streaks, probably hail. I swear at times, one was so tight, it looked like a long spout.








As the storm headed off to the northeast, into a much more capped environment, we left it. It was starting to get dark and we were all fairly hungry. The axis of the shortwave came through and lit a line of storms near Scottsbluff, but they were linear in nature. We didn't really want to go out our way to shoot lightning after enjoying our incredible isolated cell, so we resolved to go get some dinner and if lightning was convenient, we would take advantage.

We stopped in Sidney at the Pizza Hut and watched the opening game of the NFL season, all quite satisfied with our catch of the day. Most of the storms stayed off to the north, so we made the trip back to Denver with smiled on our faces. The storm was satisfying enough from an aesthetic standpoint, but our forecast verified as well, which was also nice. The precip models (both HRRR and 4km WRF NMM) showed an isolated cell developing on the dryline and while I only look at the precip models for storm type and distribution, they sure nailed it.

STATS
Mileage: 548
(Year-To-Date): 16261
Largest Hail: 1.0"+
Winds Of Consequence: None observed.
Tornadoes: None

Video to be added at a later date. (though if you are friends with me on Facebook, I do have the timelapse uploaded here)

Other chasers' reports on the date:
Tony Laubach (will link when his site is not undergoing maintenance)
Eric Treece (VIDEO 1, VIDEO 2)

Official storm reports for August 16th.

Detail map:





Like I said... we won't soon forget this storm.


Dann.

Saturday, September 18, 2010

2010 Storm Chase 43 Report - August 19th - Local Lightning

A shortwave moved through that evening with a line of thunderstorms that persisted off of the foothills. I headed to my local lightning perch and gargoyled for a while there, enjoying the show. There was quite a bit of lightning, but it waned with the bottoms falling out of the storms as they moved over lower terrain. A severe thunderstorm warning was issued for a segment of the line to the north and a 62mph gust was recorded near Boulder. I was in Greenwood Village for the event.

Linear nature of dynamically forced thunderstorms.

Distant C2G.

In-cloud lightning as the line passed.


SPC's Convective Outlook for August 19th

Storm Reports for August 19th

STATS
Mileage: 3
(Year-To-Date): 15713
Largest Hail: None observed.
Winds Of Consequence: 40kt (estimated).
Tornadoes: None.

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

2010 Storm Chase 45 Teaser - September 14th - Northwest Kansas Mothership & Tornado

"The Bull" ... storm while still high-based in Colorado.


Near Saint Francis, Kansas... sunset colors.


Possible tornado northwest of Goodland. An "off duty NWS employee" reported a "cone tornado" at this exact time. From what we saw, if it touched down, it was brief before it wrapped in rain, so we cannot confirm.


This meso is from a northward moving cell in front of the tornado-warned supercell taken from the same position as the previous photo, looking N. (About 10N Goodland)


Likely tornado in Thomas County, located at about 4NE Brownville or 10SSE Brewster.


The mothership as it moved into Monument, Kansas.


Dann.

Friday, September 10, 2010

2010 Storm Chase 44 Teaser - September 9th

Observed a beautiful, severe low-precipitation supercell in the Nebraska Panhandle this evening.

Banner County


Under the meso, east of Minatare


Just south of Angora, looking west


Contrast enhanced hail shafts


Detached mesocyclone, north of Angora



Dann

Saturday, August 21, 2010

2010 Storm Chase 42 Report - August 16th - Sun On The Boundary



While storm chasing with Tony Laubach the night prior, I received a text from Michael Carlson asking me if I'd like to join him for a chase the next day. After some consideration and a look at the forecast, I accepted his invitation.

With a deep trough across Ontario that flattened out through the Ohio Valley in the east, a relatively cut off upper level low sat off the west coast. Models had a shortwave crossing the Great Basin that evening and entering the Rockies over the course of the day on the 16th. This, with potent monsoon moisture advecting into Colorado gave us a high chance of thunderstorms. This time of year is generally a good time to see a landspout, with zonal flow and quite a few Denver Cyclone/Denver Convergence & Vorticity Zone days. Generally, I keep my eyes open for non-supercellular tornadoes on the boundaries. Considering that the day prior saw a stationary convergence boundary southeast of the Denver Cyclone, I was hoping for a repeat on the 16th, especially with the upper level energy coming through.

That morning, both low clouds and cirrus painted a difficult picture for the forecast. Michael had a feeling about Wyoming and considering his luck up there, I couldn't blame him. Unfortunately, cloudcover was thick and most of the obs carried low visibilities. There were a few thunderstorms near Douglass, but northerly winds throughout southeast Wyoming weren't that alluring to us. Topping off the Wyoming play, was the out-of-commission Cheyenne radar. If it were a day of high visibility with isolated storms expected, that wouldn't be a problem, but with lots of cloudcover, staying visual would have been difficult. This was the nail in the Wyoming coffin.

The forecast for Colorado wasn't much easier. Cloudcover would play a key roll in storm coverage and intensity during the day. Already that morning, a line of weak thunder was rolling off the Footies. The stationary boundary from the day before was slowly moving southeast toward Limon. Visible satellite, however, did show that there was some clearing on the Palmer Divide. Limon was warming nicely, unlike the day before, where cloudcover kept the temperatures down (and subsequently kept the cap from breaking downstream east of Denver). Southeasterly winds of 20kts or so blew in the Limon area, helping bring rich moisture into the area. The better upper level energy would pass to the north and it appeared that the Akron area, via the models, looked the best for supercells later in the day. I had my eyes on the clearing on the Palmer, however and was hoping that the strong southeasterlies would stall the boundary. That was the name of the game for the day... find the sunshine and find a boundary.

Here was SPC's Convective Outlook for the day.

I met Michael and Kendell LaRoche (or The Great/Inspector Larouche as I like to call him) at the park-and-ride east of town. We set out on I-70, eastbound, planning on heading out to the boundary, which sure enough, was beginning to stall out. The weak thunder that had rolled off the mountains was slowly moving east, but not strengthening. The sun was starting to break through the clouds as we made our way toward Deer Trail. We got off the highway and stationed ourselves on higher ground southwest of town, just a bit to the east of the convergence line which had now stalled. Cumulus towers were slowly growing larger with the day's heating, aided by the moist southeasterly winds. We studied the sky there for almost an hour, watching the occasional dust devil directly under the growing towers. I knew that was a good sign.




We kept a close eye on the horizon in front of us as the towers began to mature and a Mesoscale Discussion (#1702) was issued. The strongest updraft was immediately to our north and started releasing some precip which was carried east. Towers matured from a north-northeast to south-southwest fashion along the line, which curved along the south side of the Palmer Divide into the Colorado Springs area. We decided to head south on Bartlett Road and keep up with the maturing storms as the northern storm had already begun to weaken. Just a mile or two down the road, Kendell spotted a large, dusty ground circulation to our south. Being in the backseat, I was unable to discern rotation in the cloudbase above, but Michael said that there did seem to be some rotation there. As we approached, it dissipated. I was able to grab one frame as we got close.



Here is a reflectivity image from around that time. Our location is marked by a pink dot. (Click on the image for a much larger version and in subsequent radar images in this post)



We continued south on the road and soon found ourselves dancing with lofted tumbleweeds. Through there didn't seem to be any significant amount of dust in the air, there were tumbleweeds floating around as high as 200ft into the air. There was a lot of lift along this line. At this point, we decided to turn around and head back north along the road. To our surprise, dominating our view was a long, skinny funnel cloud which was a few miles to the north. Another, stout funnel cloud came out of the base to its right.



On top of that, another large, dusty ground circulation was right in front of us, on the left side of the road (as we drove north).



Tumbleweeds were being lofted all over the place (as can be seen in detail in the photo below... click for a larger version).




We sat and watched the two funnels for a while. One appeared quite close to the ground. Scott Hammel reported as a tornado near Deer Trail at 1955Z as he had been very close to the ground circulation. The other funnel never really seemed to descend too far. As they dissipated, we turned our attention to the updraft just to our east. Surprise!

Kendell stares into the whirlpool.


We stared in awe at the updraft base as it began to swirl, obviously taking advantage of the crazy vorticity along the convergence line. There was no storm-scale rotation at all. We believe this to be related to one of the many ground circulations that we had encountered along this mile-long stretch of road. Here is a better contrasted shot of the whirlpool:



As we watched, a small cone funnel began to develop in the center.



A glance to the south, along the line revealed another whirlpool to our south and a funnel cloud south of that!




The question soon became: What does one point their camera at?



We sat and watched the northern funnel develop...



... and the southern funnel melt away. The middle circulation, however, became the largest of them all!



Looking back to the northern funnel, we see it at its longest condensed length.



Back to the middle circulation and suddenly, wham! We're looking at a tornado! Touchdown likely in the Keg Creek drainage, 6WNW Agate at 2012Z.



... and a beautiful tornado at that...



... beginning to rope out now...



... and lots of curly-q's, as Michael called them...



Once it dissipated, I spoke with Scott and he confirmed that the first long rope was on the ground. We had been in the right place at the right time and had observed at least two non-supercellular/non-mesocyclonic tornadoes. At least. It was very interesting to see the life cycle of these tornadoes as the ground circulations (even in Scott's case), preceded the condensed funnels, which I suppose makes sense given the processes by which one gets a landsp-, er, NST/NMT. (for the record Al Pietrycha once came to one of my meteorology courses at Metro State and asked us never to use the word "landspout". :)

As the line pressed east and left the boundary, it began to lose some steam. We decided to head south and then east to get back to I-70 at Agate and at about that time, we ran into Tony Laubach. We stopped to talk to him for a moment after deciding to head north, where new cells were beginning to sprout along the convergence line between Brush and Last Chance. (as detailed in the reflectivity image below) Also at this time, Severe Thunderstorm Watch #622 was issued.



We blasted north to through Deer Trail and took a shortcut to US36 where we headed east for Last Chance. Michael noted that the storms weren't moving off the boundary, so we decided to intercept along CO71. The southern storms died off, but a storm just south of Brush began to attain supercell characteristics. From our vantage driving northbound (not shown), the main tower had a bit of a tilt and was slightly striated with a flanking line of towers heading due west. This line marked another convergence line, oriented east-west, which was coincident with the north-south boundary at the storm's updraft region. As we arrived, the storm was warned for hail and wind and here was our view directly under the weak mesocyclone.



Tony had followed us up and had gone north for hail, so we just sat and watched the base slowly rotate for a while. Eventually, there appeared to be a bit of a rear flank downdraft cutting through the back side and moments later, a funnel appeared! Interestingly, no wall cloud was present.


I ran over to the highway to get a better view as the funnel developed. This time, there was a easily visible, directly associated ground circulation, which was noticed at 2153Z.



And the radar at the time...



We watched for a while as this tornado developed.




... and then roped out as the outflow pushed it away...



As we were watching it dissipate, another funnel was plainly evident... and in the photo, I can see at least one more! What a crazy day!



Scott pulled up at about this time and Tony informed us of a structural impact up north, so we decided to go check it out. Heading north, Michael saw someone pointing to the south and he turned to see another long, beautiful funnel cloud. I turned around and saw it and tried to get Scott's attention. We pulled off into a driveway and this is what we saw, obviously on the ground at 2214Z.



Somehow, we had passed under this developing tornado without noticing, though the ground circulation stayed east of the road. In fact, its ground circulation was very close to that of the previous tornado and less than a mile to the west of Ninemile Corner. We ran into Zach Young at this juncture as well.

Before the tornado lifted, we got back in the car and headed south to get a bit closer, but it dissipated. We saw Eric Treece, Mark Farnik, Sean Mullins and Ben Toms all there as well. I was glad to see all of the Colorado chasers out there!

We stayed south of the storm for a few minutes, monitoring it, while everyone else headed north to a supercell that had rolled off of the Cheyenne Ridge. We didn't want to leave this storm! In fact, we did see one more funnel (not pictured) before the reflectivity really started dying off.

The supercell up north came crashing into a boundary along I-76, which had previously fired storms. Its forward momentum basically carried it into the line like a plow, undercutting it. The entire area had a brief explosion of outflow cloud before most of the updrafts collapsed. We had a close look at this line just east of Brush.



Michael was in a good mood.


As the line gusted out, we noticed that our tornado-maker to the south had intensified again, so we did a little loop through the sand hills to take a look.



But alas, it was done, so we met Eric and Tony as well as other Colorado boys Travis Speakman, Jason Groenhoff and Dustin Price at the Tomahawk Truck Stop in Brush for a celebratory steak dinner while another MD (#1706) was issued concerning the watch. We were satisfied, however, and enjoyed our dinner!

When we left, a fantastic arcus cloud dominated the western horizon!







... but it passed by with little fanfare.




The quick trip back to Denver was more of a victory lap than anything. We even got a nice sunset as a present as we drove through a dying line of storms. All in all, it was a great day. We achieved quite a bit of success on the day. First of all, though the forecast was a bit tough that morning, both of our targets verified. That always feels good! ... and the timing couldn't have been more perfect! Secondly, it was a great day for all of the Colorado chasers out there! We didn't seem to have any foreign invaders getting *extreme*up*close* footage of the tornadoes.

On an interesting note, the first couple of tornadoes were definitely non-supercellular, but the final two were a more interesting case. While the final two tornadoes would likely not have formed if it weren't for the boundary interaction at the time, I do believe the storm's weak mesocyclonic structure did aid in tornadogenesis. Unless, of course, that the "cut" was not true RFD and simply a product of the vorticity of the stretched vortex from the boundary. Officially, I feel that it is a hybrid tornado, but would listen to an argument to the contrary.

Note: No injuries were reported with the first Ninemile tornado, though it did destroy an outbuilding. A horse was unfortunately injured and had to be put down a short time later. It is worth mentioning that the outbuilding had been rebuilt after being destroyed from a wind storm earlier in the year.

STATS
Mileage: 335
(Year-To-Date): 15710
Largest Hail: None observed.
Winds Of Consequence: None observed.
Tornadoes: 4+

Video to be added at a later date.

Other chasers' reports on the date:
Michael Carlson
Tony Laubach
Scott Hammel
Eric Treece
Sean Mullins
Ben Toms

Official storm reports for August 16th.

Detail map:



Dann.