The models are tricky and not to be trusted. Bullseye chasing tomorrow based off of what I've seen so far is a BAD idea. Where you think may be a large area of instability or a big hole in the cap is, as best as I can tell, a random guess on the part of the models.
Thus, we will not be bullseye chasing tomorrow. Reiterating what I said before, tomorrow will be all about the subtleties of the surface observations and a whole heck of a lot of mesoanalysis!
I don't really have anything important to say about parameters or numbers or whatever. I'm going to be chasing from the gut. Lol. Please don't judge me. I swear, next time is going to be a "slam dunk" chase. ;)
Will be with Scott Hammel tomorrow, so look for his name on Spotter Network. He may also be streaming on ChaserTV.
Chase forecast update 7 - for May 16
3 days ago