So, tomorrow... heh...
If you'll recall, in a recent entry, I talked about the NAM overdoing CAPE values due to evapotranspiration/snowmelt. This appears to be the case again tomorrow. However, with a bit of upper level support and some surface convergence... anyway, I'm curious. The NAM is resolving close to 2,000J/kg of CAPE over SE Colorado tomorrow and while I believe that is really overdoing it, I do believe there will be some convection tomorrow. So, I'm going to go out and document what I see.
Today's 18Z run with a valid time of 0Z Saturday CAPE, CINH, 10m agl winds
Oh... and snow on the way home.
June 19, 2019 Lusk, WY tornadic supercell
5 days ago