From my post last night:
The models just haven't resolved anything worth chasing. The distance involved trumps any desire to see what develops. If it was local (meaning the EaTexPan or WeOk), yeah, I'd probably head out and have fun, but a 500 mile drive... no way José! Even the cold core in Kansas just isn't enough to bite on.
Ouch. This one hurts. In all fairness, though, the models just didn't show me what I wanted to see to make the drive all the way down. It was inconsistency... it was not the shear profile I was looking for.
You'd be hard pressed to find anyone who was forecasting anything more than a brief spin-up today, so I don't feel too bad I guess. Congratulations to Johnathan Skinner who just so happened to be staying with friends in Elk City last night! He told me that it just so happened to be right where he was targeting, so that worked out VERY well for him. Undoubtedly, we would have met up with him at some point and time today, but there is a long list of "if's" that I could get into tonight.
Anyway, we'll leave it at that for now.
So, two other things.
Today at work, I spent a good deal of time on new product creation. I wanted to make a CAPE product that had CIN overlaid on it, basically blocking out the CAPE when the CIN is strong enough. In the example below, the CIN (pink-purple) is opaque at -100J/kg. At values between 0 to -100, it is translucent, thus allowing you to see the CAPE(blue-green-yellow) below it.
The CAPE is translucent below 200J/kg or so and the blue colors stop at about 500J/kg where they switch to green. Yellow is 1500-2500J/kg and above that (but not shown) it goes to orange and red and finally a light (not bright) pink at about 5000J/kg.
I put the parameters (in this case the 21Z valid time from today's NAM 18Z run) with IR and VIS sat images.
CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A MUCH LARGER VIEW!!!!
Note: These images were created using IPS Meteostar's LEADS software. Interested parties in the software may refer here: http://www.meteostar.com/company/contact.html
Though I work there, I'm not here to sell per se. I just wanted to show you how awesome we can do stuff! Anyway, interested in your thoughts on the products...
And finally, I decided to pull the trigger on an HD video camera. I've been looking for about a year now and figured it was finally time. I decided on this one:
Canon Vixia HG 21
Got a nice deal on a barely used one for about $650. I'm hoping it will pay for itself over the course of the year!
I'd be interested in hearing from anyone who has this camera. Thoughts?
Anyway, that's it for tonight. I'm still feeling a little ill for missing that storm today and dumping a bunch of money into a camera.
Congrats to all who bagged on today. Thank goodness no one was hurt.
Chase forecast update 7 - for May 16
1 week ago