Well, the models still aren't quite aligned, much to my dismay. The GFS is being more progressive with the system, shifting what I would choose as a target about 100 miles further east. The NAM parameters lose a little strength from the 0Z run last night. The area of interest remains unchanged, though I would push the northern limit of the northern target a tad to the south.
I'm really on the fence on this one but trending toward not going. Mr. Tony Laubach helped me dissect the cost of the trip (which I usually ignore such that it not impede my decision)
With the 18Z run (NAM) out, things look even less exciting, so I'm trending toward no. I suppose the final decision will come out at 10PM tonight when the 0Z runs are in.
That's it for now. More tonight.
Chase forecast update 7 - for May 16
4 days ago