March 5, 7-9 Chase Forecast Thursday Update

March 5th
My forecast remains unchanged. Please see previous forecast for details. Here's what the 4.0KM WRF NMM precip forecast has for 0Z (5PM MST):


You know, this really makes me cry. I've been monitoring this in the models for the last week or so and was just unable to secure the day off from work. I WAS able to get a couple days off early next week for the "larger" system coming out of the mountains. There is been a lot of inconsistency in the models on this one, especially with the GFS which seems to shift placement by thousands of miles every 12 hours. Tune in tomorrow morning to see what happens next. And with that:

March 7-8
I don't want to talk about it.

Dann.